Risk Prediction of the Damage of Low Temperature Injury Flowering Period of Ratooning Rice in Southeastern of Sichuan Basin
Received date: 2022-10-25
Online published: 2023-01-17
Accurately predict the risk degree of the injury of low temperature in flowering stage on ratooning rice in different regions is beneficial to properly distributing low-temperature resistant varieties in the flowering stage according to local conditions and establishing high and stable yield technique to avoid or relieve low temperature. In 2018 and 2019, 22 new mid-season hybrid rice varieties introduced in recent years in Sichuan Province were used as materials and a unified test scheme at different ecological sites in southeastern Sichuan Basin were adopted to develop a method for predicting the risk of injury by low temperature in the flowering stage of ratooning rice based on longitude, latitude and altitude. The result showed that, the sequence of the 5th day after full heading of rationing rice was negatively correlated with longitude while positively correlated with altitude. A regression model based on longitude and altitude was established to predict the sequence of rice on the 5th day after full heading of rationing rice, in which the F value was 22.88**~65.11**, and the coefficient of determination was 0.9196~0.9702. The model was validated on several varieties at 6 ecological sites for two consecutive years. The determination coefficient of 1:1 regression model between measured value and predicted value was 0.8391~0.8638, and the RMSE between the measured value and the predicted value was 0.93%~1.21%. There was a good performance in consistency between the predicted value and the measured value. Combining the relationship model between the full head stage and geographical location of ratoon rice established in this study and the earlier prediction model based on geographic location （latitude, altitude） established by the authors to predict the earliest occurrence period of ≤22 ℃, and clarified the rate of injury by low temperature in flowering stage of ratooning rice in different geographical locations. Information of geographical location is useful to achieve accurate prediction of the risk of low temperature injury in flowering stage of ratooning rice, which has high applicability in production.
Key words： rice; ratoon rice; flowering stage; low temperature injury; risk prediction; Sichuan basin
XU Fuxian, YUAN Chi, WANG Xuechun, HAN Dong, LIAO Shuang, ZHANG Zhiyong, CHEN Kun, ZENG Shiqing, KONG Xiaoqian, ZENG Zhengming, ZHANG Lin, YANG Bo, JIANG Peng, ZHOU Xingbing . Risk Prediction of the Damage of Low Temperature Injury Flowering Period of Ratooning Rice in Southeastern of Sichuan Basin[J]. China Rice, 2023 , 29(1) : 92 -97 . DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-8082.2023.01.015
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